|By Marketwired .||
|November 19, 2012 07:20 PM EST||
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA -- (Marketwire) -- 11/20/12 --
To High River Gold Shareholders,
Both High River Gold and Nord Gold put out their Q3 financial results last week. Below is a comparison of the first 9 months of 2012:
HRG had production of 254.8koz. vs. Nord at 515.0k oz. - 49.5% of Nord's total. HRG had revenues of $422.5M vs. Nord at 851.1M - 49.6% of Nord's total. HRG had EBITDA of $208.8M vs. Nord at $349.2M - 59.8% of Nord's total. HRG had cash flow of $179.2M vs. Nord at $71.0M - 252% of Nord's total. HRG had a net profit of $137.0M vs. Nord at $123.2M - 111% of Nord's total. At end of Q3, HRG had liquidity of $257.7M (including $89.4M third party stock (Detour Gold), $113.3M loans to Nord and $55M in cash). It had $10.3M debt owed to the 50% partner in Prognoz. At end of Q3, Nord had $102.4M in cash and total debt of $523.2M.
Note: these numbers reflect 100% of both companies and do not deduct for non-controlling interests.
Without HRG, in the first 9 months of the year, Nord would have had negative cash flow of $108.2M, a loss of $13.8M and a negative cash balance of $10.9M. The EBITDA comparison continues to show the superior performance of HRG's assets over Nord's non-HRG assets. The cash flow and profit comparisons highlight the substantial debt that Nord is carrying.
There have been a few interesting events recently that are worth mentioning. Firstly, Nord has repaid $52.7M in loans to HRG bringing the total loans from HRG down to $113M. Secondly, in HRG's press release it says, "The Bissa project is on track to deliver first gold in H1 2013 and we now believe that production of gold at Bissa can be started in the earlier part of the announced period. " To remind you, a Morgan Stanley report dated Feb. 17, 2012 projects that Bissa will produce 95koz. of gold in 2013 and add $145M of EBITDA.
In regards to the Prognoz silver project, it is interesting to note that certain parties to the lock-up agreements (for the current offer) have some connection to both HRG and Prognoz via direct and indirect investments. Therefore, it would not be surprising if HRG/Nord and the other 50% partners in Prognoz come to some sort of agreement on settling legal disputes and bankruptcy proceedings next year. As I have stated previously, a spinoff of Prognoz would be beneficial to all parties - especially considering certain predictions that silver will play catch up to gold in terms of historic ratios. Prognoz is in the top ten silver properties in the world in terms of resources, but tops the list with grades.
Nord's most recent offer for HRG of $1.40 share is at a P/E of 7.3 vs. the industry average (for mid-cap gold producers) at a 25 P/E. Based on this average, Nord's cash offer should be $4.80/share. The share swap offer of .285 Nord share for each HRG share translates to 100% of HRG being worth 58% of Nord's total value. This is almost equal to the 59.8% of Nord's EBITDA contributed by HRG, however, this does not reflect HRG minority's portion of the $247.4M of HRG's net liquidity. When factoring this in, it brings 100% of HRG up to 70% of Nord's total value. This means HRG shareholders should have been offered 76M shares of Nord which works out to an exchange of .363 Nord share for each HRG share (calcs linked below). Even this number gives zero value for the Prognoz property.
Nord's offer expires in one week's time. To date we have collected confirmations from shareholders with approx. 90.2M shares (10.73% of total HRG shares and 43% of minority) that they will not tender to Nord's offer. This includes shares owned in funds managed by Eric Sprott (HRG's largest minority shareholder). Nord would have needed 90% of minority to tender to the current offer in order to squeeze the rest out. With 43% of minority indicating they will not tender, this should prevent this from happening on the Nov. 27th expiry date. Also, since those holding over 10% of total shares have indicate they will not tender, Nord will not be able to use an exemption eliminating the requirement for a majority of minority vote in a second stage transaction. To use this exemption they would have needed to own 90% of total shares. Therefore, if Nord wants to continue its buyout effort and acquire all shares and vote the shares tendered to this offer, it will have to announce a subsequent amalgamation offer and complete the transaction within 120 days of the expiry of the current offer. Nord would need to call a special shareholders meeting with proper notice, which puts the earliest possible meeting dates around Dec. 31 - Jan. 2 range - depending on mailing and preparation time. At this meeting, only those voting in person or by proxy count. If a majority of minority is required, we may already be able to win this vote with the 90.2M shares if Nord cannot get a greater number to vote in its favour. However, to be certain we will be able to block, it would be best if we collect another 14.6M shares to garner ultimate majority of minority (104.8M shares). As with Nord's take-over attempt in 2009, there are certain funds that will not confirm their share counts or intentions, but will vote with us anyway. Therefore, I believe our numbers to be greater than stated above.
If any funds owning HRG shares have not contacted me yet, I encourage you to do so. Confirming that we have support of majority of minority will send Nord the message that they need to up their offer significantly. If we defeat this offer outright, we could see a significant increase in HRG's share price. In 2009, when we defeated Severstal/Nord's offer, HRG's share price tripled within 5 months of the offer expiry date.
Link to HRG Q3 results
Link to share swap calculations
Disclaimer: I have received written or verbal confirmations of shareholder counts from those that will not tender. If any of these shareholders have changed their mind, since sold their shares, or not been accurate in their statements, it will change the share counts stated above.
Fifty billion connected devices and still no winning protocols standards. HTTP, WebSockets, MQTT, and CoAP seem to be leading in the IoT protocol race at the moment but many more protocols are getting introduced on a regular basis. Each protocol has its pros and cons depending on the nature of the communications. Does there really need to be only one protocol to rule them all? Of course not. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Chris Matthieu, co-founder and CTO of Octoblu, walk you through how Oct...
Oct. 1, 2016 03:00 AM EDT Reads: 2,433
There is growing need for data-driven applications and the need for digital platforms to build these apps. In his session at 19th Cloud Expo, Muddu Sudhakar, VP and GM of Security & IoT at Splunk, will cover different PaaS solutions and Big Data platforms that are available to build applications. In addition, AI and machine learning are creating new requirements that developers need in the building of next-gen apps. The next-generation digital platforms have some of the past platform needs a...
Oct. 1, 2016 03:00 AM EDT Reads: 1,964
Smart Cities are here to stay, but for their promise to be delivered, the data they produce must not be put in new siloes. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Mathias Herberts, Co-founder and CTO of Cityzen Data, will deep dive into best practices that will ensure a successful smart city journey.
Oct. 1, 2016 02:30 AM EDT Reads: 2,714
Businesses are struggling to manage the information flow and interactions between all of these new devices and things jumping on their network, and the apps and IT systems they control. The data businesses gather is only helpful if they can do something with it. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Chris Witeck, Principal Technology Strategist at Citrix, will discuss how different the impact of IoT will be for large businesses, expanding how IoT will allow large organizations to make their legacy ap...
Oct. 1, 2016 02:30 AM EDT Reads: 648
Adobe is changing the world though digital experiences. Adobe helps customers develop and deliver high-impact experiences that differentiate brands, build loyalty, and drive revenue across every screen, including smartphones, computers, tablets and TVs. Adobe content solutions are used daily by millions of companies worldwide-from publishers and broadcasters, to enterprises, marketing agencies and household-name brands. Building on its established design leadership, Adobe enables customers not o...
Oct. 1, 2016 02:30 AM EDT Reads: 523
SYS-CON Events announced today that Tintri Inc., a leading producer of VM-aware storage (VAS) for virtualization and cloud environments, will exhibit at the 19th International Cloud Expo, which will take place on November 1–3, 2016, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Tintri VM-aware storage is the simplest for virtualized applications and cloud. Organizations including GE, Toyota, United Healthcare, NASA and 6 of the Fortune 15 have said “No to LUNs.” With Tintri they mana...
Oct. 1, 2016 02:30 AM EDT Reads: 3,026
Just over a week ago I received a long and loud sustained applause for a presentation I delivered at this year’s Cloud Expo in Santa Clara. I was extremely pleased with the turnout and had some very good conversations with many of the attendees. Over the next few days I had many more meaningful conversations and was not only happy with the results but also learned a few new things. Here is everything I learned in those three days distilled into three short points.
Oct. 1, 2016 02:15 AM EDT Reads: 5,457
SYS-CON Events announced today that Numerex Corp, a leading provider of managed enterprise solutions enabling the Internet of Things (IoT), will exhibit at the 19th International Cloud Expo | @ThingsExpo, which will take place on November 1–3, 2016, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Numerex Corp. (NASDAQ:NMRX) is a leading provider of managed enterprise solutions enabling the Internet of Things (IoT). The Company's solutions produce new revenue streams or create operating...
Oct. 1, 2016 02:15 AM EDT Reads: 2,123
24Notion is full-service global creative digital marketing, technology and lifestyle agency that combines strategic ideas with customized tactical execution. With a broad understand of the art of traditional marketing, new media, communications and social influence, 24Notion uniquely understands how to connect your brand strategy with the right consumer. 24Notion ranked #12 on Corporate Social Responsibility - Book of List.
Oct. 1, 2016 02:15 AM EDT Reads: 516
Major trends and emerging technologies – from virtual reality and IoT, to Big Data and algorithms – are helping organizations innovate in the digital era. However, to create real business value, IT must think beyond the ‘what’ of digital transformation to the ‘how’ to harness emerging trends, innovation and disruption. Architecture is the key that underpins and ties all these efforts together. In the digital age, it’s important to invest in architecture, extend the enterprise footprint to the cl...
Oct. 1, 2016 02:15 AM EDT Reads: 757
Why do your mobile transformations need to happen today? Mobile is the strategy that enterprise transformation centers on to drive customer engagement. In his general session at @ThingsExpo, Roger Woods, Director, Mobile Product & Strategy – Adobe Marketing Cloud, covered key IoT and mobile trends that are forcing mobile transformation, key components of a solid mobile strategy and explored how brands are effectively driving mobile change throughout the enterprise.
Oct. 1, 2016 01:45 AM EDT Reads: 510
As ridesharing competitors and enhanced services increase, notable changes are occurring in the transportation model. Despite the cost-effective means and flexibility of ridesharing, both drivers and users will need to be aware of the connected environment and how it will impact the ridesharing experience. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Timothy Evavold, Executive Director Automotive at Covisint, will discuss key challenges and solutions to powering a ride sharing and/or multimodal model in the a...
Oct. 1, 2016 01:15 AM EDT Reads: 721
In his general session at 18th Cloud Expo, Lee Atchison, Principal Cloud Architect and Advocate at New Relic, discussed cloud as a ‘better data center’ and how it adds new capacity (faster) and improves application availability (redundancy). The cloud is a ‘Dynamic Tool for Dynamic Apps’ and resource allocation is an integral part of your application architecture, so use only the resources you need and allocate /de-allocate resources on the fly.
Oct. 1, 2016 01:15 AM EDT Reads: 3,045
DevOps and microservices are permeating software engineering teams broadly, whether these teams are in pure software shops but happen to run a business, such Uber and Airbnb, or in companies that rely heavily on software to run more traditional business, such as financial firms or high-end manufacturers. Microservices and DevOps have created software development and therefore business speed and agility benefits, but they have also created problems; specifically, they have created software sec...
Oct. 1, 2016 12:15 AM EDT Reads: 1,428
In this strange new world where more and more power is drawn from business technology, companies are effectively straddling two paths on the road to innovation and transformation into digital enterprises. The first path is the heritage trail – with “legacy” technology forming the background. Here, extant technologies are transformed by core IT teams to provide more API-driven approaches. Legacy systems can restrict companies that are transitioning into digital enterprises. To truly become a lea...
Sep. 30, 2016 11:30 PM EDT Reads: 774