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The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea Increases

NEW YORK, Dec. 13, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea increased 0.8 percent in October to 120.9 (2004 = 100), following a 1.1 percent increase in September, and a 0.6 percent decline in August.

At the same time, The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for Korea, a measure of current economic activity, decreased 0.3 percent in October to 117.7 (2004 = 100), following a 0.4 percent increase in September, and a 0.3 percent decrease in August.

The LEI for Korea has increased in the last two months, after declining for five consecutive months, but its six-month change remains in negative territory. Meanwhile, The CEI for Korea declined in October, and its six-month growth rate has slowed compared to earlier this year. Taken together, the composite indexes and their components continue to suggest that the rate of economic growth is likely to remain slow in the near term.

About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for Korea
The composite economic indexes are the key elements in an analytic system designed to signal peaks and troughs in the business cycle. The leading and coincident economic indexes are essentially composite averages of several individual leading or coincident indicators. They are constructed to summarize and reveal common turning point patterns in economic data in a clearer and more convincing manner than any individual component – primarily because they smooth out some of the volatility of individual components.

The seven components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for Korea include:

Stock Prices
Value of Machinery Orders
Letter of Credit Arrivals
Index of Shipments to Inventories
Export FOB
Yield of Government Public Bonds
Private Construction Orders

For more information including full press release and technical notes:
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=6

For more information about The Conference Board global business cycle indicators:
http://www.conference-board.org/data/bci.cfm

About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is an independent business membership and research association working in the public interest. Our mission is unique: To provide the world's leading organizations with the practical knowledge they need to improve their performance and better serve society. The Conference Board is a non-advocacy, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States.  www.conference-board.org.












Summary Table of Composite Economic Indexes

 





2012





6-month


Aug


Sep


Oct


Apr to Oct

 

Leading Economic index (LEI)  

118.6



119.9

r


120.9




Percent Change    

-0.6



1.1

r


0.8



-0.8


Diffusion

57.1



64.3

r


35.7



42.9













Coincident Economic Index (CEI)

117.5

p


118.0

p


117.7

p



Percent Change

-0.3

p


0.4

p


-0.3

p


0.4

p

Diffusion

50.0



100.0



50.0



75.0













n.a. Not available   p Preliminary   r Revised




Indexes equal 100 in 2004




Source: The Conference Board   All Rights Reserved


















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