Welcome!

News Feed Item

ISR Foundation: Park Geun-hye Becomes South Korea's First Female President with 50.8% of Majority Popular Vote, the Largest Share Since 1971

"Ms. Park's Presidential Victory by the Slimmest of Margins" is Forecasted by the ISR Foundation, an Asian-American Think Tank

WASHINGTON, Dec. 19, 2012 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- The International Strategy and Reconciliation Foundation, an Asian-American think tank, forecasts a "presidential election victory" by Park Geun-hye, the leader of a conservative party, winning a popular vote majority of 50.8 percent over the progressive candidate Moon Jae-in.  She becomes the first female president in South Korean history by capturing such a majority vote since the 1971 presidential election, blazing a new trail for women in a deeply patriarchal country in East Asia.

Dr. Asaph Chun, who developed the ISR election forecasting model in 2003 and proved its viability in the past four US elections as well as South Korean elections, identifies Ms. Park's winning formula is grounded on "decisively winning the 4 of 7 battleground provinces mostly in Southeast, East coast, Mideast, and Southern Island  that tended to follow conservative-line in past South Korean presidential elections.  The ISR G3 model predicts the human-rights lawyer Moon would reap 48.3 percent of popular vote by sweeping voters in Southwest and winning the majority of voters in the capital Seoul by less than one percent over Ms. Park.  The "ready female president effect" Ms. Park sustained has neutralized the "change effect" charismatic Moon demonstrated, erasing his 11th hour gains on the rise. 

According to the ISR G3 forecasting model, designed to reduce "polling house effect" and make a viable voting prediction of "undecided voters," the strong-will Ms. Park who likens herself to Margaret Thatcher is expected to take an average lead of 10% to 50% among females, and the aged 50 or older whereas Moon's lead comes among the young aged 39 or younger, and independent voters.  Among voters aged 40-49, Moon's lead over Ms. Park is expected to be over five percentage points, which is much smaller than he wished. Sampling error varies from 1.5 to 3.1 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence for different groups.

ISR G3 model has proved its forecasting viability by accurately predicting the last South Korean presidential election and the past three U.S. presidential election results since 2004 as well as the 2006 mid-term elections of the Senate  and 2008 elections of the Senate and the House when most polling firms were not successful of forecasting competitive U.S. election outcomes.  For additional information on the 2012 South Korean election forecasting of ISR, contact the ISR Foundation at [email protected].

ABOUT the ISR Foundation. The International Strategy and Reconciliation Foundation, a Washington-based Asian-American think tank, studies elections forecasting, runs international conflict and reconciliation management, and conducts education and public health programs with emphasis on the disadvantaged people. Leaders representing ISR Foundation include Honorary Chairman Chanmo Park, former President of Pohang University of Science and Technology (POSTECH); International Chairman Syngman Rhee , former Moderator of Presbyterian Churches USA; Chairman Asaph Chun , a renowned survey methodologist; Professor John Yoon of Mercy College, NY; and Professor and Dean Jaechun Kim of Sogang Graduate School of International Studies.

SOURCE ISR Foundation

More Stories By PR Newswire

Copyright © 2007 PR Newswire. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of PRNewswire content is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of PRNewswire. PRNewswire shall not be liable for any errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

Latest Stories
Cloud resources, although available in abundance, are inherently volatile. For transactional computing, like ERP and most enterprise software, this is a challenge as transactional integrity and data fidelity is paramount – making it a challenge to create cloud native applications while relying on RDBMS. In his session at 21st Cloud Expo, Claus Jepsen, Chief Architect and Head of Innovation Labs at Unit4, will explore that in order to create distributed and scalable solutions ensuring high availa...
Cloud adoption is often driven by a desire to increase efficiency, boost agility and save money. All too often, however, the reality involves unpredictable cost spikes and lack of oversight due to resource limitations. In his session at 20th Cloud Expo, Joe Kinsella, CTO and Founder of CloudHealth Technologies, tackled the question: “How do you build a fully optimized cloud?” He will examine: Why TCO is critical to achieving cloud success – and why attendees should be thinking holistically ab...
Internet-of-Things discussions can end up either going down the consumer gadget rabbit hole or focused on the sort of data logging that industrial manufacturers have been doing forever. However, in fact, companies today are already using IoT data both to optimize their operational technology and to improve the experience of customer interactions in novel ways. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Gordon Haff, Red Hat Technology Evangelist, shared examples from a wide range of industries – including en...
In IT, we sometimes coin terms for things before we know exactly what they are and how they’ll be used. The resulting terms may capture a common set of aspirations and goals – as “cloud” did broadly for on-demand, self-service, and flexible computing. But such a term can also lump together diverse and even competing practices, technologies, and priorities to the point where important distinctions are glossed over and lost.
Detecting internal user threats in the Big Data eco-system is challenging and cumbersome. Many organizations monitor internal usage of the Big Data eco-system using a set of alerts. This is not a scalable process given the increase in the number of alerts with the accelerating growth in data volume and user base. Organizations are increasingly leveraging machine learning to monitor only those data elements that are sensitive and critical, autonomously establish monitoring policies, and to detect...
"We're a cybersecurity firm that specializes in engineering security solutions both at the software and hardware level. Security cannot be an after-the-fact afterthought, which is what it's become," stated Richard Blech, Chief Executive Officer at Secure Channels, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at @ThingsExpo, held November 1-3, 2016, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA.
Most companies are adopting or evaluating container technology - Docker in particular - to speed up application deployment, drive down cost, ease management and make application delivery more flexible overall. As with most new architectures, this dream takes a lot of work to become a reality. Even when you do get your application componentized enough and packaged properly, there are still challenges for DevOps teams to making the shift to continuous delivery and achieving that reduction in cost ...
Enterprise architects are increasingly adopting multi-cloud strategies as they seek to utilize existing data center assets, leverage the advantages of cloud computing and avoid cloud vendor lock-in. This requires a globally aware traffic management strategy that can monitor infrastructure health across data centers and end-user experience globally, while responding to control changes and system specification at the speed of today’s DevOps teams. In his session at 20th Cloud Expo, Josh Gray, Chie...
To get the most out of their data, successful companies are not focusing on queries and data lakes, they are actively integrating analytics into their operations with a data-first application development approach. Real-time adjustments to improve revenues, reduce costs, or mitigate risk rely on applications that minimize latency on a variety of data sources. Jack Norris reviews best practices to show how companies develop, deploy, and dynamically update these applications and how this data-first...
Intelligent Automation is now one of the key business imperatives for CIOs and CISOs impacting all areas of business today. In his session at 21st Cloud Expo, Brian Boeggeman, VP Alliances & Partnerships at Ayehu, will talk about how business value is created and delivered through intelligent automation to today’s enterprises. The open ecosystem platform approach toward Intelligent Automation that Ayehu delivers to the market is core to enabling the creation of the self-driving enterprise.
"At the keynote this morning we spoke about the value proposition of Nutanix, of having a DevOps culture and a mindset, and the business outcomes of achieving agility and scale, which everybody here is trying to accomplish," noted Mark Lavi, DevOps Solution Architect at Nutanix, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at @DevOpsSummit at 20th Cloud Expo, held June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY.
"We're here to tell the world about our cloud-scale infrastructure that we have at Juniper combined with the world-class security that we put into the cloud," explained Lisa Guess, VP of Systems Engineering at Juniper Networks, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at 20th Cloud Expo, held June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY.
Historically, some banking activities such as trading have been relying heavily on analytics and cutting edge algorithmic tools. The coming of age of powerful data analytics solutions combined with the development of intelligent algorithms have created new opportunities for financial institutions. In his session at 20th Cloud Expo, Sebastien Meunier, Head of Digital for North America at Chappuis Halder & Co., discussed how these tools can be leveraged to develop a lasting competitive advantage ...
In his session at 20th Cloud Expo, Mike Johnston, an infrastructure engineer at Supergiant.io, discussed how to use Kubernetes to set up a SaaS infrastructure for your business. Mike Johnston is an infrastructure engineer at Supergiant.io with over 12 years of experience designing, deploying, and maintaining server and workstation infrastructure at all scales. He has experience with brick and mortar data centers as well as cloud providers like Digital Ocean, Amazon Web Services, and Rackspace. H...
The question before companies today is not whether to become intelligent, it’s a question of how and how fast. The key is to adopt and deploy an intelligent application strategy while simultaneously preparing to scale that intelligence. In her session at 21st Cloud Expo, Sangeeta Chakraborty, Chief Customer Officer at Ayasdi, will provide a tactical framework to become a truly intelligent enterprise, including how to identify the right applications for AI, how to build a Center of Excellence to ...