Welcome!

News Feed Item

ISR Foundation: Park Geun-hye Becomes South Korea's First Female President with 50.8% of Majority Popular Vote, the Largest Share Since 1971

"Ms. Park's Presidential Victory by the Slimmest of Margins" is Forecasted by the ISR Foundation, an Asian-American Think Tank

WASHINGTON, Dec. 19, 2012 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- The International Strategy and Reconciliation Foundation, an Asian-American think tank, forecasts a "presidential election victory" by Park Geun-hye, the leader of a conservative party, winning a popular vote majority of 50.8 percent over the progressive candidate Moon Jae-in.  She becomes the first female president in South Korean history by capturing such a majority vote since the 1971 presidential election, blazing a new trail for women in a deeply patriarchal country in East Asia.

Dr. Asaph Chun, who developed the ISR election forecasting model in 2003 and proved its viability in the past four US elections as well as South Korean elections, identifies Ms. Park's winning formula is grounded on "decisively winning the 4 of 7 battleground provinces mostly in Southeast, East coast, Mideast, and Southern Island  that tended to follow conservative-line in past South Korean presidential elections.  The ISR G3 model predicts the human-rights lawyer Moon would reap 48.3 percent of popular vote by sweeping voters in Southwest and winning the majority of voters in the capital Seoul by less than one percent over Ms. Park.  The "ready female president effect" Ms. Park sustained has neutralized the "change effect" charismatic Moon demonstrated, erasing his 11th hour gains on the rise. 

According to the ISR G3 forecasting model, designed to reduce "polling house effect" and make a viable voting prediction of "undecided voters," the strong-will Ms. Park who likens herself to Margaret Thatcher is expected to take an average lead of 10% to 50% among females, and the aged 50 or older whereas Moon's lead comes among the young aged 39 or younger, and independent voters.  Among voters aged 40-49, Moon's lead over Ms. Park is expected to be over five percentage points, which is much smaller than he wished. Sampling error varies from 1.5 to 3.1 percentage points at the 95% level of confidence for different groups.

ISR G3 model has proved its forecasting viability by accurately predicting the last South Korean presidential election and the past three U.S. presidential election results since 2004 as well as the 2006 mid-term elections of the Senate  and 2008 elections of the Senate and the House when most polling firms were not successful of forecasting competitive U.S. election outcomes.  For additional information on the 2012 South Korean election forecasting of ISR, contact the ISR Foundation at isr2020@gmail.com.

ABOUT the ISR Foundation. The International Strategy and Reconciliation Foundation, a Washington-based Asian-American think tank, studies elections forecasting, runs international conflict and reconciliation management, and conducts education and public health programs with emphasis on the disadvantaged people. Leaders representing ISR Foundation include Honorary Chairman Chanmo Park, former President of Pohang University of Science and Technology (POSTECH); International Chairman Syngman Rhee , former Moderator of Presbyterian Churches USA; Chairman Asaph Chun , a renowned survey methodologist; Professor John Yoon of Mercy College, NY; and Professor and Dean Jaechun Kim of Sogang Graduate School of International Studies.

SOURCE ISR Foundation

More Stories By PR Newswire

Copyright © 2007 PR Newswire. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of PRNewswire content is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of PRNewswire. PRNewswire shall not be liable for any errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

Latest Stories
Both SaaS vendors and SaaS buyers are going “all-in” to hyperscale IaaS platforms such as AWS, which is disrupting the SaaS value proposition. Why should the enterprise SaaS consumer pay for the SaaS service if their data is resident in adjacent AWS S3 buckets? If both SaaS sellers and buyers are using the same cloud tools, automation and pay-per-transaction model offered by IaaS platforms, then why not host the “shrink-wrapped” software in the customers’ cloud? Further, serverless computing, cl...
The Software Defined Data Center (SDDC), which enables organizations to seamlessly run in a hybrid cloud model (public + private cloud), is here to stay. IDC estimates that the software-defined networking market will be valued at $3.7 billion by 2016. Security is a key component and benefit of the SDDC, and offers an opportunity to build security 'from the ground up' and weave it into the environment from day one. In his session at 16th Cloud Expo, Reuven Harrison, CTO and Co-Founder of Tufin, ...
WebRTC is the future of browser-to-browser communications, and continues to make inroads into the traditional, difficult, plug-in web communications world. The 6th WebRTC Summit continues our tradition of delivering the latest and greatest presentations within the world of WebRTC. Topics include voice calling, video chat, P2P file sharing, and use cases that have already leveraged the power and convenience of WebRTC.
Information technology (IT) advances are transforming the way we innovate in business, thereby disrupting the old guard and their predictable status-quo. It’s creating global market turbulence. Industries are converging, and new opportunities and threats are emerging, like never before. So, how are savvy chief information officers (CIOs) leading this transition? Back in 2015, the IBM Institute for Business Value conducted a market study that included the findings from over 1,800 CIO interviews ...
DevOps is being widely accepted (if not fully adopted) as essential in enterprise IT. But as Enterprise DevOps gains maturity, expands scope, and increases velocity, the need for data-driven decisions across teams becomes more acute. DevOps teams in any modern business must wrangle the ‘digital exhaust’ from the delivery toolchain, "pervasive" and "cognitive" computing, APIs and services, mobile devices and applications, the Internet of Things, and now even blockchain.
With the proliferation of both SQL and NoSQL databases, organizations can now target specific fit-for-purpose database tools for their different application needs regarding scalability, ease of use, ACID support, etc. Platform as a Service offerings make this even easier now, enabling developers to roll out their own database infrastructure in minutes with minimal management overhead. However, this same amount of flexibility also comes with the challenges of picking the right tool, on the right ...
“We're a global managed hosting provider. Our core customer set is a U.S.-based customer that is looking to go global,” explained Adam Rogers, Managing Director at ANEXIA, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at 18th Cloud Expo, held June 7-9, 2016, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY.
Security, data privacy, reliability and regulatory compliance are critical factors when evaluating whether to move business applications from in-house client hosted environments to a cloud platform. In her session at 18th Cloud Expo, Vandana Viswanathan, Associate Director at Cognizant, In this session, will provide an orientation to the five stages required to implement a cloud hosted solution validation strategy.
In today's uber-connected, consumer-centric, cloud-enabled, insights-driven, multi-device, global world, the focus of solutions has shifted from the product that is sold to the person who is buying the product or service. Enterprises have rebranded their business around the consumers of their products. The buyer is the person and the focus is not on the offering. The person is connected through multiple devices, wearables, at home, on the road, and in multiple locations, sometimes simultaneously...
"We host and fully manage cloud data services, whether we store, the data, move the data, or run analytics on the data," stated Kamal Shannak, Senior Development Manager, Cloud Data Services, IBM, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at 18th Cloud Expo, held June 7-9, 2016, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY.
China Unicom exhibit at the 19th International Cloud Expo, which took place at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA, in November 2016. China United Network Communications Group Co. Ltd ("China Unicom") was officially established in 2009 on the basis of the merger of former China Netcom and former China Unicom. China Unicom mainly operates a full range of telecommunications services including mobile broadband (GSM, WCDMA, LTE FDD, TD-LTE), fixed-line broadband, ICT, data communica...
All organizations that did not originate this moment have a pre-existing culture as well as legacy technology and processes that can be more or less amenable to DevOps implementation. That organizational culture is influenced by the personalities and management styles of Executive Management, the wider culture in which the organization is situated, and the personalities of key team members at all levels of the organization. This culture and entrenched interests usually throw a wrench in the work...
Zerto exhibited at SYS-CON's 18th International Cloud Expo®, which took place at the Javits Center in New York City, NY, in June 2016. Zerto is committed to keeping enterprise and cloud IT running 24/7 by providing innovative, simple, reliable and scalable business continuity software solutions. Through the Zerto Cloud Continuity Platform™, organizations can seamlessly move and protect virtualized workloads between public, private and hybrid clouds. The company’s flagship product, Zerto Virtual...
As businesses adopt functionalities in cloud computing, it’s imperative that IT operations consistently ensure cloud systems work correctly – all of the time, and to their best capabilities. In his session at @BigDataExpo, Bernd Harzog, CEO and founder of OpsDataStore, will present an industry answer to the common question, “Are you running IT operations as efficiently and as cost effectively as you need to?” He will expound on the industry issues he frequently came up against as an analyst, and...
WebRTC is about the data channel as much as about video and audio conferencing. However, basically all commercial WebRTC applications have been built with a focus on audio and video. The handling of “data” has been limited to text chat and file download – all other data sharing seems to end with screensharing. What is holding back a more intensive use of peer-to-peer data? In her session at @ThingsExpo, Dr Silvia Pfeiffer, WebRTC Applications Team Lead at National ICT Australia, looked at differ...