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Closer Look: BioLineRx's Multi Billion Dollar Schizophrenia Drug

LOS ANGELES, CA -- (Marketwire) -- 01/15/13 -- BioLineRx engages in identifying, in-licensing, and developing therapeutic candidates. Its lead clinical therapeutic candidate under development is BL-1020, which is in Phase II/III clinical trials to improve cognitive function in schizophrenia patients. BL-1020 is an orally available, first in class GABA enhanced antipsychotic that combines dopamine antagonism with GABAergic activity.

BL-1020 is being tested against Johnson and Johnson's schizophrenia drug Risperdal, which generated worldwide sales of $24.2 billion from 2003 to 2010, reaching $4.5 billion in 2007.

According to Wikipedia: "Risperdal is the trade name for risperidone, an antipsychotic drug which is mainly used to treat schizophrenia but also used for other conditions. Due to its strong serotonin, dopaminergic, and adrenergic antagonism, risperidone was approved by the FDA in 1993 for the treatment of schizophrenia. In 2007, risperidone was approved as the only drug agent available for the treatment of this disease in youths, ages 13-17. It was also approved that same day in the treatment of bipolar disorder for people ages 10-17. In 2006, the FDA approved risperidone for the treatment of irritability in children and adolescents with autism. This decision was based in part on a study of autistic people with severe problems containing violent meltdowns, aggression, and self-injury."

With all of the above indications, it is evident risperidone is an important and versatile drug.

Recently, a pair of companies announced they were on track in the early development with another candidate using risperidone. Earlier this month, Durect Corporation announced its licensee, Zogenix reported positive single-dose pharmacokinetic results from the Phase I clinical trial of Relday, a once-monthly subcutaneous formulation of risperidone for the treatment of schizophrenia.

Zogenix needed this bit of good news as its pain killer drug Zohydro was shot down by an FDA Advisory Committee by a vote of 11-2 against recommending the drug to the FDA for approval, causing its stock price to plummet 42% on December 10th, 2012.

BioLine uses risperidone as the positive control for antipsychotic efficacy in its phase II/III CLARITY trial. The study is designed as a randomized, double-blind clinical trial to examine acute (6 weeks) and long-term (6 months) antipsychotic and cognitive efficacy, safety, and tolerability of BL-1020. The cognition primary endpoint measure will utilize the MATRICS Cognitive Consensus Battery (MCCB), and cognitive benefit will be assessed by comparing the change from baseline in total MCCB score. These scores will compare BL-1020 to risperidone at the landmarks of six, 12 and 24 weeks.

Significant upcoming Catalyst:

BioLineRx has stated that they will present the Phase II/III CLARITY trial results during the week of March 18, 2013.

So what is the big deal with another schizophrenia drug? As mentioned above, JNJ's Risperdal has raked in billions of dollars in revenue before going off of patent protection in 2010. BL-1020 has patent protection through 2033. The preliminary results for BL-1020 indicate it's as effective, if not more effective and safer than Risperdal. If the data that is expected to be released in March confirms the previous results, we can expect a massive move in the stock price.

Acadia, recently reported positive Phase III data for its drug Pimavanserin, which is in development as a potential treatment for Parkinson's disease psychosis (PDP). Pimavanserin is specific to PDP and has the potential to be a multi-billion dollar drug if approved as evident by Acadia's stock price surging over 200% intraday on 11/27/12, hitting a high of $6.50 (over $7 in the pre-market trading session).

Pimavanserin's first Phase III study failed to meet its primary endpoint, but after re-tailoring the trial, Acadia has now seen success with the drug. While PDP is different from schizophrenia, both are defined as a form of psychosis. The market potential for both combined is massive, demonstrated in part by Risperdal's 7 year revenue of over $24B.

It's also worth noting that Acadia ended development of its own schizophrenia drug AM-831 in July of 2012. Acadia and its partner Meiji Seika Pharma Co. stated that the drug did not meet certain criteria for advanced testing -- Drug companies know treatment for schizophrenia is a very lucrative market.

Below, let's take a look at a balance sheet summary for BioLine.

Balance Sheet
Total Cash (mrq):                                                $    26.38M
Total Cash Per Share (mrq):                                      $      1.75
Total Debt (mrq):                                                $    44.85K
Total Debt/Equity (mrq):                                                0.24
Current Ratio (mrq):                                                    3.91
Book Value Per Share (mrq):                                             1.25

Shares Outstanding5:                                                  15.06M
Float:                                                                12.33M

Market Cap (intraday): $43.08M

"I have highlighted the numbers that stick out to me above in bold. Bioline having a $43M market cap has to be the result of the company flying under the radar of speculative investors and traders. If positive results are announced in March, I have to think the stock will at least gap up over 100% because BL-120 could be worth billions if ultimately approved for sale," said Scott Matusow.

Bioline having $1.75 cash per share is good, along with $26.3M in cash and a current burn rate of about $4.5M a quarter. This gives the company over a year of breathing room to operate before they might have to engage in a possible cash raise.

BL-120 is not the only drug the company has in its pipeline:

Drugs in Clinical trials:

BL-1020 Schizophrenia (Currently in Phase II/III trial)
BL-1040 AMI (Currently in CE Mark Registration Trial)
BL-5010 Skin lesions (Phase I/II complete)
BL-7040 Inflammatory Bowel Disease ( Phase II)
BL-8040 Acute myeloid leukemia & other hematological cancers (Phase II
BL-1021 Neuropathic Pain (Currently in Phase I trial)

Drugs in Pre-clinical:

BL-8020 HCV
BL-6030/1 Bacterial Infection (BIJ)
BL-7010 Celiac Disease
BL-5040 Cachexia (BIJ)
BL-7020 Psoriasis (BIJ)
BL-7060/EDP29 AMI
BL-8010/EDP30 Retinopathy
BL-8030 HCV

"I find the potential of Bioline to be very enticing since the company has only a $43M market cap and over $26M in the bank. As mentioned above, I feel Bioline has been flying under the radar and offers a good opportunity at its current price. Also of note, 2 analyst firms have slapped a buy rating on the stock with one assigning a target price of $11.

"Sarepta was flying under the radar until it recently grabbed investor attention with positive data releases for Eteplirsen, which is in Phase II clinical stage for the treatment of Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD). In July 2012, following a 1:6 reverse split, Sarepta was trading around $3.30 a share. Currently the stock trades for over $27 as investors and traders have taken notice of the huge developing story at Sarepta. While it's not likely that Bioline will see a stock price anywhere near the $27 range anytime soon, I do feel it's a good bet its stock price can see a very large percentage gain if the CLARITY trial results are positive in March, and nice price appreciation beforehand in anticipation of the results.

"The stock has formed a longer term rounding bottom and is showing signs of reversal after breaking out of its down channel. The MACD and RSI are very bullish. First target appears to be the 38.2% retrace at $4.00.

"Overall, I like Bioline for at least a nice catalyst trade, and expect the stock to be trading much higher over the next month. If the Phase II data release is positive, which it should be, I would expect a stock price over $5," said Scott Matusow.

Disclosure: Author Scott Matusow @scottmatusow is long BLRX.

The full report including the stock chart is available at:

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