Welcome!

News Feed Item

Seattle's 12th Man Will Make the Difference in Super Bowl XLVIII, Based on a Surprising Predictor of Big-Game Success

Team whose fan base has higher employment has won 20 of last 25 Super Bowls; Seattle - with 5.9 percent jobless rate - gets the nod over Denver in 2014, according to RiseSmart study.

SAN JOSE, Calif., Jan. 21, 2014 /PRNewswire/ -- Seattle Seahawks fans – known as the 12th Man -- have earned a reputation as some of the loudest, most loyal fans in the NFL.  But can their support push the Seahawks over the top even at a neutral location – MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J., the site of Super Bowl XLVIII?  A RiseSmart analysis of data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) suggests that it can.

(Photo: http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20140121/DA49830-INFO)

According to RiseSmart, a leading provider of enterprise career management solutions, the team whose fan base enjoys greater economic prosperity, as measured by lower unemployment rates, has won 20 of the past 25 Super Bowls – an 80 percent success rate.

Based on the correlation of BLS data and Super Bowl winners, the Seattle Seahawks are the favorite to defeat the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl XLVIII. Through November, the 2013 unemployment rate for the Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue metropolitan statistical area was 5.9 percent, compared to 6.7 percent for the Denver-Aurora-Broomfield metro area.

The "unemployment rate predictor" has accurately picked the Super Bowl winner in 20 out of 25 matchups beginning in 1989, when the San Francisco 49ers, hailing from a metro area with a low 3.6 percent jobless rate, defeated the Cincinnati Bengals, whose fan base was then experiencing a 5.1 percent unemployment rate, in Super Bowl XXIII. The correlation is based on the jobless rates in the competing metro areas in the calendar year preceding the Super Bowl.

"After a quarter century as one of the most consistently accurate Super Bowl predictors, it's fair to ask if this correlation is more than simply a coincidence," said Sanjay Sathe, president and CEO of RiseSmart. "One could argue that a fan base with higher employment is more likely to have expendable income to attend games, buy team merchandise, and cheer on their team at sports bars and restaurants.  Maybe that additional fan support gives their team an edge that ultimately drives them to Super Bowl victory.

"And that's how Seattle's 12th Man will make the difference at Super Bowl XLVIII, according to the unemployment predictor."

Other facts of note:

  • This is Seattle's second trip to the Big Game. The Seahawks' Super Bowl XL loss to the  Pittsburgh Steelers represents an exception to the rule – it's one of the few occasions when the unemployment predictor failed. Pittsburgh defeated Seattle despite having a 5.2 percent unemployment rate, compared to Seattle's 5.0 percent rate.
  • Three of the four other times the predictor failed, the Super Bowl winner was the New York Giants – who earned upset wins over Buffalo in 1991 and New England in 2008 and 2012.

"Never underestimate the power of having a job," Sathe said. "The subtle changes that higher employment can bring to a metro area can spread ripples as far as the football field."

Super Bowl

Winner

Jobless Rate (%)

Loser

Jobless Rate (%)

1989

San Francisco

3.6

Cincinnati

5.1

1990

San Francisco

3.3

Denver

5.4

1991

New York

5.5

Buffalo

5.3

1992

Washington

4.6

Buffalo

7.2

1993

Dallas

6.9

Buffalo

7.5

1994

Dallas

6.1

Buffalo

6.8

1995

San Francisco

5.9

San Diego

7.1

1996

Dallas

4.8

Pittsburgh

6

1997

Green Bay

3.4

New England

4.1

1998

Denver

2.9

Green Bay

3.3

1999

Denver

2.9

Atlanta

3.3

2000

St. Louis

3.5

Tennessee

2.9

2001

Baltimore

3.8

New York 

4.4

2002

New England

3.6

St. Louis

4.6

2003

Tampa Bay

5.6

Oakland

6.2

2004

New England

5.7

Carolina

6.3

2005

New England

5.0

Philadelphia

5.1

2006

Pittsburgh

5.2

Seattle

5.0

2007

Indianapolis

4.4

Chicago

4.5

2008

New York 

4.4

New England

4.1

2009

Pittsburgh

5.1

Arizona

5.3

2010

New Orleans

6.5

Indianapolis

8.7

2011

Green Bay

7.7

Pittsburgh

8

2012

New York 

8.5

New England

6.6

2013

Baltimore

7.2

San Francisco

8.1

Note: Jobless rates are for year prior to Super Bowl year.  Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

About RiseSmart
RiseSmart is a leader in enterprise career management solutions that drive employee engagement, improve retention, and burnish employer brands.  Through its employee-centric career-management platform, RiseSmart Compass, and its results-oriented outplacement solution, RiseSmart Transition, RiseSmart helps high-performing organizations successfully cultivate passionate, engaged employees and loyal alumni ambassadors. RiseSmart's innovative approach to human capital management has earned the company a wide range of awards and recognition from organizations including Bersin by Deloitte, the Best in Biz, Gartner Inc., the Golden Bridge Awards, LAROCQUE, the Momentum Index, Red Herring, the San Francisco Business Times, SiliconIndia, the Silicon Valley/San Jose Business Journal, the Stevie Awards and TIE.  For more information about how enterprise career management can help you, visit http://www.risesmart.com.

Contact: Stephanie Wick, 1-972-850-5866, [email protected]

SOURCE RiseSmart

More Stories By PR Newswire

Copyright © 2007 PR Newswire. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of PRNewswire content is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of PRNewswire. PRNewswire shall not be liable for any errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

Latest Stories
In addition to all the benefits, IoT is also bringing new kind of customer experience challenges - cars that unlock themselves, thermostats turning houses into saunas and baby video monitors broadcasting over the internet. This list can only increase because while IoT services should be intuitive and simple to use, the delivery ecosystem is a myriad of potential problems as IoT explodes complexity. So finding a performance issue is like finding the proverbial needle in the haystack.
"We host and fully manage cloud data services, whether we store, the data, move the data, or run analytics on the data," stated Kamal Shannak, Senior Development Manager, Cloud Data Services, IBM, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at 18th Cloud Expo, held June 7-9, 2016, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY.
With the proliferation of both SQL and NoSQL databases, organizations can now target specific fit-for-purpose database tools for their different application needs regarding scalability, ease of use, ACID support, etc. Platform as a Service offerings make this even easier now, enabling developers to roll out their own database infrastructure in minutes with minimal management overhead. However, this same amount of flexibility also comes with the challenges of picking the right tool, on the right ...
DevOps at Cloud Expo – being held November 1-3, 2016, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA – announces that its Call for Papers is open. Born out of proven success in agile development, cloud computing, and process automation, DevOps is a macro trend you cannot afford to miss. From showcase success stories from early adopters and web-scale businesses, DevOps is expanding to organizations of all sizes, including the world's largest enterprises – and delivering real results. Am...
"This week we're really focusing on scalability, asset preservation and how do you back up to the cloud and in the cloud with object storage, which is really a new way of attacking dealing with your file, your blocked data, where you put it and how you access it," stated Jeff Greenwald, Senior Director of Market Development at HGST, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at 18th Cloud Expo, held June 7-9, 2016, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY.
The 19th International Cloud Expo has announced that its Call for Papers is open. Cloud Expo, to be held November 1-3, 2016, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA, brings together Cloud Computing, Big Data, Internet of Things, DevOps, Digital Transformation, Microservices and WebRTC to one location. With cloud computing driving a higher percentage of enterprise IT budgets every year, it becomes increasingly important to plant your flag in this fast-expanding business opportuni...
Large scale deployments present unique planning challenges, system commissioning hurdles between IT and OT and demand careful system hand-off orchestration. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Jeff Smith, Senior Director and a founding member of Incenergy, will discuss some of the key tactics to ensure delivery success based on his experience of the last two years deploying Industrial IoT systems across four continents.
The Internet of Things will challenge the status quo of how IT and development organizations operate. Or will it? Certainly the fog layer of IoT requires special insights about data ontology, security and transactional integrity. But the developmental challenges are the same: People, Process and Platform. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Craig Sproule, CEO of Metavine, demonstrated how to move beyond today's coding paradigm and shared the must-have mindsets for removing complexity from the develo...
“We're a global managed hosting provider. Our core customer set is a U.S.-based customer that is looking to go global,” explained Adam Rogers, Managing Director at ANEXIA, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at 18th Cloud Expo, held June 7-9, 2016, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY.
SYS-CON Events announced today that MangoApps will exhibit at the 19th International Cloud Expo, which will take place on November 1–3, 2016, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. MangoApps provides modern company intranets and team collaboration software, allowing workers to stay connected and productive from anywhere in the world and from any device.
IoT is rapidly changing the way enterprises are using data to improve business decision-making. In order to derive business value, organizations must unlock insights from the data gathered and then act on these. In their session at @ThingsExpo, Eric Hoffman, Vice President at EastBanc Technologies, and Peter Shashkin, Head of Development Department at EastBanc Technologies, discussed how one organization leveraged IoT, cloud technology and data analysis to improve customer experiences and effi...
The IETF draft standard for M2M certificates is a security solution specifically designed for the demanding needs of IoT/M2M applications. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Brian Romansky, VP of Strategic Technology at TrustPoint Innovation, explained how M2M certificates can efficiently enable confidentiality, integrity, and authenticity on highly constrained devices.
In today's uber-connected, consumer-centric, cloud-enabled, insights-driven, multi-device, global world, the focus of solutions has shifted from the product that is sold to the person who is buying the product or service. Enterprises have rebranded their business around the consumers of their products. The buyer is the person and the focus is not on the offering. The person is connected through multiple devices, wearables, at home, on the road, and in multiple locations, sometimes simultaneously...
“delaPlex Software provides software outsourcing services. We have a hybrid model where we have onshore developers and project managers that we can place anywhere in the U.S. or in Europe,” explained Manish Sachdeva, CEO at delaPlex Software, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at @ThingsExpo, held June 7-9, 2016, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY.
Keeping pace with advancements in software delivery processes and tooling is taxing even for the most proficient organizations. Point tools, platforms, open source and the increasing adoption of private and public cloud services requires strong engineering rigor – all in the face of developer demands to use the tools of choice. As Agile has settled in as a mainstream practice, now DevOps has emerged as the next wave to improve software delivery speed and output. To make DevOps work, organization...