|By Marketwired .||
|July 3, 2014 10:30 AM EDT||
CALGARY, ALBERTA -- (Marketwired) -- 07/03/14 -- NOT FOR DISSEMINATION IN THE UNITED STATES OR FOR DISTRIBUTION TO UNITED STATES NEWS WIRE SERVICES
Deloitte's Resource Evaluation & Advisory group released its current Canadian domestic oil and gas price forecast today, noting that the strengthening prices experienced during the second quarter are likely to continue, resulting in a stronger second half of 2014 for Canadian oil and gas producers.
"April through June has seen a strengthening of Canadian oil and gas prices as the U.S. works to refill their massive storage volumes and satisfy strong domestic demand," said Deloitte's Andrew Botterill, Senior Manager Resource Evaluation & Advisory. "This has increased our confidence in a stronger second half of 2014. But the long-range futures markets still indicate both oil and gas will remain softer for 2015 and beyond without increased exports to markets other than the U.S."
In the commentary accompanying Deloitte's June 30, 2014, forecast, Mr. Botterill focuses on the continuing disappearance of traditionally steadfast Canadian benchmarks such as Cromer Medium, Shell Edmonton Par and others. In recent years, companies have elected not to publish the oil and gas prices being paid at the refinery gate, thereby eliminating daily spot price benchmarks for different grades of Canadian crude. Edmonton Par is the latest to become extinct. Comprised of prices from Shell, Suncor (formerly Petro Canada) and Imperial Oil, Shell and Suncor stopped publishing some months ago. Deloitte predicted Imperial would likely follow suit and, on May 1 this year, they did - effectively eliminating the daily spot data behind the Edmonton Par reference price.
"Without these benchmarks, is it harder for Canada to have a good understanding of daily markets," Mr. Botterill. "Canada relies heavily on exports to the U.S. and the relationship between WTI and Edmonton oil prices can fluctuate greatly. Knowing when volumes are trading at a premium or a discount to the U.S., and understanding the economic drivers affecting this relationship, is vital for Canadian producers, investors and governments making decisions that affect our industry and our economy. At a time when Canada is looking to increase LNG and oil export volumes to markets other than the U.S., this adds more complexity to the way these volumes will be traded."
Deloitte's pricing team has developed an alternate Edmonton Par methodology that considers the near-term futures market and how it reflects the differentials between reference points in the next month.
Deloitte's June 30, 2014 forecast shows a WTI oil real price of US$100.00/bbl for 2014, decreasing to US$93.00/bbl for 2015 and eventually leveling out at US$85.00/bbl by 2018. Deloitte has forecast a US$7.00/bbl differential between WTI and Edmonton par that will decrease to US$2.00/bbl over the long term to match pipeline tariffs between the two markets.
With respect to natural gas, Deloitte's June forecast shows natural gas at an Alberta AECO real price of C$4.80/Mcf in 2014, dropping to $C4.40/Mcf for 2015 and up to C$6.00/Mcf by 2024. Deloitte's NYMEX real price is at US$4.60/Mcf throughout 2014, dropping to US$4.35/Mcf for 2015 and up to US$5.80/Mcf by 2024.
Canadian to U.S. exchange rate is forecast at $0.90 and is in line with current Canadian bank forecasts.
For Deloitte's complete oil and gas price forecast dated June 30, 2014 visit www.ajmdeloitte.ca/price-forecasts.html.
Deloitte, one of Canada's leading professional services firms, provides audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services. Deloitte LLP, an Ontario limited liability partnership, is the Canadian member firm of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited. Deloitte operates in Quebec as Deloitte s.e.n.c.r.l., a Quebec limited liability partnership.
Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of member firms, each of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms.
On behalf of Deloitte
With all the incredible momentum behind the Internet of Things (IoT) industry, it is easy to forget that not a single CEO wakes up and wonders if “my IoT is broken.” What they wonder is if they are making the right decisions to do all they can to increase revenue, decrease costs, and improve customer experience – effectively the same challenges they have always had in growing their business. The exciting thing about the IoT industry is now these decisions can be better, faster, and smarter. Now ...
Nov. 29, 2015 08:00 AM EST Reads: 256
The cloud. Like a comic book superhero, there seems to be no problem it can’t fix or cost it can’t slash. Yet making the transition is not always easy and production environments are still largely on premise. Taking some practical and sensible steps to reduce risk can also help provide a basis for a successful cloud transition. A plethora of surveys from the likes of IDG and Gartner show that more than 70 percent of enterprises have deployed at least one or more cloud application or workload. Y...
Nov. 29, 2015 07:00 AM EST Reads: 490
Continuous processes around the development and deployment of applications are both impacted by -- and a benefit to -- the Internet of Things trend. To help better understand the relationship between DevOps and a plethora of new end-devices and data please welcome Gary Gruver, consultant, author and a former IT executive who has led many large-scale IT transformation projects, and John Jeremiah, Technology Evangelist at Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), on Twitter at @j_jeremiah. The discussion...
Nov. 29, 2015 06:45 AM EST Reads: 739
Discussions of cloud computing have evolved in recent years from a focus on specific types of cloud, to a world of hybrid cloud, and to a world dominated by the APIs that make today's multi-cloud environments and hybrid clouds possible. In this Power Panel at 17th Cloud Expo, moderated by Conference Chair Roger Strukhoff, panelists addressed the importance of customers being able to use the specific technologies they need, through environments and ecosystems that expose their APIs to make true ...
Nov. 29, 2015 06:00 AM EST Reads: 551
Too often with compelling new technologies market participants become overly enamored with that attractiveness of the technology and neglect underlying business drivers. This tendency, what some call the “newest shiny object syndrome” is understandable given that virtually all of us are heavily engaged in technology. But it is also mistaken. Without concrete business cases driving its deployment, IoT, like many other technologies before it, will fade into obscurity.
Nov. 29, 2015 06:00 AM EST Reads: 372
Microservices are a very exciting architectural approach that many organizations are looking to as a way to accelerate innovation. Microservices promise to allow teams to move away from monolithic "ball of mud" systems, but the reality is that, in the vast majority of organizations, different projects and technologies will continue to be developed at different speeds. How to handle the dependencies between these disparate systems with different iteration cycles? Consider the "canoncial problem"...
Nov. 29, 2015 05:00 AM EST Reads: 458
The Internet of Things is clearly many things: data collection and analytics, wearables, Smart Grids and Smart Cities, the Industrial Internet, and more. Cool platforms like Arduino, Raspberry Pi, Intel's Galileo and Edison, and a diverse world of sensors are making the IoT a great toy box for developers in all these areas. In this Power Panel at @ThingsExpo, moderated by Conference Chair Roger Strukhoff, panelists discussed what things are the most important, which will have the most profound...
Nov. 29, 2015 04:30 AM EST Reads: 483
Container technology is shaping the future of DevOps and it’s also changing the way organizations think about application development. With the rise of mobile applications in the enterprise, businesses are abandoning year-long development cycles and embracing technologies that enable rapid development and continuous deployment of apps. In his session at DevOps Summit, Kurt Collins, Developer Evangelist at Built.io, examined how Docker has evolved into a highly effective tool for application del...
Nov. 29, 2015 04:00 AM EST Reads: 375
PubNub has announced the release of BLOCKS, a set of customizable microservices that give developers a simple way to add code and deploy features for realtime apps.PubNub BLOCKS executes business logic directly on the data streaming through PubNub’s network without splitting it off to an intermediary server controlled by the customer. This revolutionary approach streamlines app development, reduces endpoint-to-endpoint latency, and allows apps to better leverage the enormous scalability of PubNu...
Nov. 29, 2015 03:00 AM EST Reads: 338
Growth hacking is common for startups to make unheard-of progress in building their business. Career Hacks can help Geek Girls and those who support them (yes, that's you too, Dad!) to excel in this typically male-dominated world. Get ready to learn the facts: Is there a bias against women in the tech / developer communities? Why are women 50% of the workforce, but hold only 24% of the STEM or IT positions? Some beginnings of what to do about it! In her Day 2 Keynote at 17th Cloud Expo, San...
Nov. 29, 2015 03:00 AM EST Reads: 595
Apps and devices shouldn't stop working when there's limited or no network connectivity. Learn how to bring data stored in a cloud database to the edge of the network (and back again) whenever an Internet connection is available. In his session at 17th Cloud Expo, Ben Perlmutter, a Sales Engineer with IBM Cloudant, demonstrated techniques for replicating cloud databases with devices in order to build offline-first mobile or Internet of Things (IoT) apps that can provide a better, faster user e...
Nov. 29, 2015 02:45 AM EST Reads: 421
In today's enterprise, digital transformation represents organizational change even more so than technology change, as customer preferences and behavior drive end-to-end transformation across lines of business as well as IT. To capitalize on the ubiquitous disruption driving this transformation, companies must be able to innovate at an increasingly rapid pace. Traditional approaches for driving innovation are now woefully inadequate for keeping up with the breadth of disruption and change facin...
Nov. 29, 2015 02:30 AM EST Reads: 500
I recently attended and was a speaker at the 4th International Internet of @ThingsExpo at the Santa Clara Convention Center. I also had the opportunity to attend this event last year and I wrote a blog from that show talking about how the “Enterprise Impact of IoT” was a key theme of last year’s show. I was curious to see if the same theme would still resonate 365 days later and what, if any, changes I would see in the content presented.
Nov. 29, 2015 01:00 AM EST Reads: 436
Cloud computing delivers on-demand resources that provide businesses with flexibility and cost-savings. The challenge in moving workloads to the cloud has been the cost and complexity of ensuring the initial and ongoing security and regulatory (PCI, HIPAA, FFIEC) compliance across private and public clouds. Manual security compliance is slow, prone to human error, and represents over 50% of the cost of managing cloud applications. Determining how to automate cloud security compliance is critical...
Nov. 28, 2015 08:00 PM EST Reads: 434
The Internet of Things (IoT) is growing rapidly by extending current technologies, products and networks. By 2020, Cisco estimates there will be 50 billion connected devices. Gartner has forecast revenues of over $300 billion, just to IoT suppliers. Now is the time to figure out how you’ll make money – not just create innovative products. With hundreds of new products and companies jumping into the IoT fray every month, there’s no shortage of innovation. Despite this, McKinsey/VisionMobile data...
Nov. 28, 2015 01:00 PM EST Reads: 479