Blog Feed Post

Brexit Planning and Modernization

Change is intrinsic to the IT industry and its customers. And most of us, whether in business or government, are deeply focused on enabling business agility, whether through technology change, product innovation, software architecture, agile practices, modernization projects, role and skills development, etc. But the momentous decision of the UK to leave the European Union has prompted me to revisit my change models. Clearly the scale of the implied change is very wide ranging, and the impact on government, industry, commerce and education sectors in the UK and some parts of Europe may be extraordinary, affecting core business and societal models like no other change short of war!

How do we businesses, government departments, educational establishments and individuals make plans? I suggest before you can even start planning, a model is needed to aid understanding of what's happening, and where you are in the process. As it happens one of my colleagues just passed me a link to Jason Bloomberg's blog on Architecting Change as a Core Competency [1]. This includes a model for understanding change, and in the table below I have taken the liberty to extend Jason's model.
Understood; stable present and future
Manage growth/decline
Product / Service / Market maturity
Unexpected event - terrorist attack, disaster, death of key personnel;
Inflexion points triggered by technology change; e.g disintermediation, industry platforms, Uber, Apple in Music etc
Seemingly simple decision causes wide impact, unpredictable effects; e.g merger, acquisition, demerger,
High level of uncertainty over model and outcomes

The model is not like a maturity model in which we are in one state at any point in time. It seems clear that many of us in the UK and Europe will be experiencing discontinuity (it's unexpected, sudden and largely unplanned for), and chaos (the simple decision to leave the EU triggers an unimaginable number of potential consequences, for instance, there are evidently 40,000 pieces of UK and EU legislation that will be impacted) and lack of definition, (the arrangements will only emerge over time, perhaps over many years). The chaotic element is further amplified by the absence of anyone in charge and the number of parties (28 EU countries) to the current and any future agreement.

So given we have a major discontinuity with chaotic impact and very little definition of the approach, do we just metaphorically sit on our hands and do nothing until the politicians make some agreements? Already we see some large enterprises are indicating their likely strategy; commonly financial, telecomms and IT organizations making initial plans to relocate key parts of their business; either because regulatory requirements mandate operation in the EU, or standards such as Cloud data make it imperative to move data centers, or the EU digital strategy make it imperative that telecomms enterprises are located in the EU, or new EU borders require new, enhanced or multiple tariff and security management.

While these type of changes will happen over time, there are others that are urgent; many businesses are right now adjusting resources and prices to leverage or compensate for changes in demand caused by currency shifts. Tactical changes will usually be accommodated in existing systems; but more profound changes may mean significant change in the core business model over time. The model below is a very simple model and highlights the central things that may be subject to change. Modelers will recognize instantly that these "things" are core entities that generally "run the business" and generally endure while the core mission and objectives of the enterprise remain stable. And consequently, Brexit triggered changes may well have profound changes to the business model.
For many enterprises this change may well be an existential event. That existing systems will require such major change that radical modernization effort will be required. Perhaps enterprises have been delaying modernization of core, back end systems because the cost justification is not compelling - and for many that cost justification will now become overwhelming and urgent. What will be necessary however is for systems modernization (people, process and technology) to be carried out in a manner that the enterprise can continuously adapt because Brexit triggered changes will be happening progressively for the next two to (say) seven years. It's time to start planning right now, so that as the regulatory requirements and trade agreements are framed the systems are in place to respond.  

[1] Architecting Change as a Core Competency

Relevant Blogs: Modernizing the modernization strategy

Read the original blog entry...

More Stories By David Sprott

David Sprott is a consultant, researcher and educator specializing in service oriented architecture, application modernization and cloud computing. Since 1997 David founded and led the well known think tank CBDI Forum providing unique research and guidance around loose coupled architecture, technologies and practices to F5000 companies and governments worldwide. As CEO of Everware-CBDI International a UK based corporation, he directs the global research and international consulting operations of the leading independent advisors on Service Oriented Application Modernization.

Latest Stories
Microsoft Azure Container Services can be used for container deployment in a variety of ways including support for Orchestrators like Kubernetes, Docker Swarm and Mesos. However, the abstraction for app development that support application self-healing, scaling and so on may not be at the right level. Helm and Draft makes this a lot easier. In this primarily demo-driven session at @DevOpsSummit at 21st Cloud Expo, Raghavan "Rags" Srinivas, a Cloud Solutions Architect/Evangelist at Microsoft, wi...
Containers are rapidly finding their way into enterprise data centers, but change is difficult. How do enterprises transform their architecture with technologies like containers without losing the reliable components of their current solutions? In his session at @DevOpsSummit at 21st Cloud Expo, Tony Campbell, Director, Educational Services at CoreOS, will explore the challenges organizations are facing today as they move to containers and go over how Kubernetes applications can deploy with lega...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Avere Systems, a leading provider of hybrid cloud enablement solutions, will exhibit at SYS-CON's 21st International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Avere Systems was created by file systems experts determined to reinvent storage by changing the way enterprises thought about and bought storage resources. With decades of experience behind the company’s founders, Avere got its ...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Taica will exhibit at the Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) Pavilion at SYS-CON's 21st International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. ANSeeN are the measurement electronics maker for X-ray and Gamma-ray and Neutron measurement equipment such as spectrometers, pulse shape analyzer, and CdTe-FPD. For more information, visit http://anseen.com/.
Today most companies are adopting or evaluating container technology - Docker in particular - to speed up application deployment, drive down cost, ease management and make application delivery more flexible overall. As with most new architectures, this dream takes significant work to become a reality. Even when you do get your application componentized enough and packaged properly, there are still challenges for DevOps teams to making the shift to continuous delivery and achieving that reducti...
As you move to the cloud, your network should be efficient, secure, and easy to manage. An enterprise adopting a hybrid or public cloud needs systems and tools that provide: Agility: ability to deliver applications and services faster, even in complex hybrid environments Easier manageability: enable reliable connectivity with complete oversight as the data center network evolves Greater efficiency: eliminate wasted effort while reducing errors and optimize asset utilization Security: imple...
High-velocity engineering teams are applying not only continuous delivery processes, but also lessons in experimentation from established leaders like Amazon, Netflix, and Facebook. These companies have made experimentation a foundation for their release processes, allowing them to try out major feature releases and redesigns within smaller groups before making them broadly available. In his session at 21st Cloud Expo, Brian Lucas, Senior Staff Engineer at Optimizely, will discuss how by using...
In this strange new world where more and more power is drawn from business technology, companies are effectively straddling two paths on the road to innovation and transformation into digital enterprises. The first path is the heritage trail – with “legacy” technology forming the background. Here, extant technologies are transformed by core IT teams to provide more API-driven approaches. Legacy systems can restrict companies that are transitioning into digital enterprises. To truly become a lead...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Yuasa System will exhibit at the Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) Pavilion at SYS-CON's 21st International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Yuasa System is introducing a multi-purpose endurance testing system for flexible displays, OLED devices, flexible substrates, flat cables, and films in smartphones, wearables, automobiles, and healthcare.
With major technology companies and startups seriously embracing Cloud strategies, now is the perfect time to attend 21st Cloud Expo October 31 - November 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center, CA, and June 12-14, 2018, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY, and learn what is going on, contribute to the discussions, and ensure that your enterprise is on the right path to Digital Transformation.
SYS-CON Events announced today that CAST Software will exhibit at SYS-CON's 21st International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on Oct 31 - Nov 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. CAST was founded more than 25 years ago to make the invisible visible. Built around the idea that even the best analytics on the market still leave blind spots for technical teams looking to deliver better software and prevent outages, CAST provides the software intelligence that matter ...
SYS-CON Events announced today that Daiya Industry will exhibit at the Japanese Pavilion at SYS-CON's 21st International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on Oct 31 – Nov 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. Ruby Development Inc. builds new services in short period of time and provides a continuous support of those services based on Ruby on Rails. For more information, please visit https://github.com/RubyDevInc.
DevOps at Cloud Expo, taking place October 31 - November 2, 2017, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA, is co-located with 21st Cloud Expo and will feature technical sessions from a rock star conference faculty and the leading industry players in the world. The widespread success of cloud computing is driving the DevOps revolution in enterprise IT. Now as never before, development teams must communicate and collaborate in a dynamic, 24/7/365 environment. There is no time to w...
When it comes to cloud computing, the ability to turn massive amounts of compute cores on and off on demand sounds attractive to IT staff, who need to manage peaks and valleys in user activity. With cloud bursting, the majority of the data can stay on premises while tapping into compute from public cloud providers, reducing risk and minimizing need to move large files. In his session at 18th Cloud Expo, Scott Jeschonek, Director of Product Management at Avere Systems, discussed the IT and busine...
As businesses evolve, they need technology that is simple to help them succeed today and flexible enough to help them build for tomorrow. Chrome is fit for the workplace of the future — providing a secure, consistent user experience across a range of devices that can be used anywhere. In her session at 21st Cloud Expo, Vidya Nagarajan, a Senior Product Manager at Google, will take a look at various options as to how ChromeOS can be leveraged to interact with people on the devices, and formats th...